New gas agreement between Moscow and Kiev - the result of a "big conspiracy" Russian and Ukrainian elites.This opinion was expressed by Director of the International Institute of Political Expertise Evgeny Minchenko, at the round table in the news agency "Rosbalt" .Novye gas agreements between Moscow and Kiev - the result of a "big conspiracy" Russian and Ukrainian elites.This opinion was expressed by Director of the International Institute of Political Expertise Evgeny Minchenko, at the round table in the news agency "Rosbalt".
According to the expert, the vulnerability of the Russian-Ukrainian economic relations was the fact that they were kept for a long time to "fine thread of the gas, which did not give stability to this relationship."And while Russian businessmen entered the capital of many Ukrainian companies, they played in the local market only for themselves, outside the context of national interests of Russia in the past few years."It's no secret that some Russian companies, with interests i
the April package deal, implying overall economic convergence opens up new prospects for cooperation.The more that a set of interests of the Russian side has improved markedly.Thus, a major player on the Ukrainian direction of the Vice-Prime Minister Igor Sechin, in the sphere of influence of which are "Rosneft" United Shipbuilding Corporation, United Aircraft Corporation.And all of them are looking at assets in the Ukrainian market.
can not, in turn, say that the main beneficiaries of the Ukrainian side are the only representatives of the Party of Regions, owning the largest chemical, mining and metallurgical enterprises, although, of course, the exporters benefit first.Agreement on nuclear energy may open up new horizons for the band Mykola Martynenko (the representative of the faction "Our Ukraine"), and the agreement in shipbuilding will be very interesting to the owner of the Nikolaev shipyard Petro Poroshenko.
According to Minchenko, the current agreement will be more stable than those which were concluded before, because they capture a wide spectrum of elite interests.However, there are losers - importers and financial speculators."With traditional Ukrainian swings, when the hryvnia sharply increase, then relax, and insiders to earn this have something to do, because they will interfere," - the analyst believes.
course, remains a number of problems.In particular, there remains uncertainty about the fate of gas reserves, expropriated by the government of Yulia Tymoshenko for some companies.It is not clear what happened to all this gas and how to "embroider" the situation.Despite the fact that the main business groups of Ukraine benefit from the new agreements, there remains the fear of a possible Russian expansion in the domestic economy in economic circles.Even within the ruling coalition may be contradictions, so that we can not forget about the risks of regime change - with all the known consequences.Finally, factor very painful for Kiev is a strategic line of Russia to reduce the transit of its gas through Ukrainian territory.The Russian leadership all their actions made it clear that under no circumstances did not intend to abandon the construction of alternative pipelines.
According to Director General of the National Energy Security Fund Konstantin Simonov, provided Ukraine a discount on gas - not that other, as a fee for its "cultural" behavior as a transit country and compensation for the impending loss of this status.Simon notes that the Ukrainian economy is extremely opaque that even state-owned companies do not publish their financial statements.Therefore, to understand whether there is in fact the country has the money to pay for energy, it is impossible.But while under development and construction of two Russian "streams", in Kiev there is always the last argument in reserve - "will steal", and Moscow has to make concessions in order not to suffer the already badly damaged reputation of Russia as a gas supplier.Later, however, the basis for relations between the two countries will not transit issues, and cooperation in other areas.